Australia: Barley production forecast to increase modestly despite larger planted area
Australias area planted to barley is forecast to increase by 10 per cent to 4.3 million hectares in 2018/19, ABARES said in its latest report published on June 12.
The nations barley production is forecast to increase by 3 per cent to 9.2 million tonnes. Barley production is forecast to increase more modestly than might be expected given the forecast increase in planted area because barley yields in Western Australia are forecast to fall from above average back to average, the Agriculture Ministry said.
In New South Wales, the area planted to barley is forecast to increase by 8 per cent in 201819 to 850,000 hectares, which reflects expected higher returns from growing cereal crops compared to oilseeds and pulses and the drier than average autumn. Production is forecast to increase by 33 per cent to 1.6 million tonnes, reflecting an increase in the area planted and a forecast increase in average yield compared to the poor yielding 201718 barley crop.
The area planted to barley in Queensland is forecast to rise by 76 per cent to around 155,000 hectares. Barley production is expected to rise by 133 per cent to 280,000 tonnes. Barley yields are expected to recover from the levels achieved in 201718 when very dry conditions in much of Queenslands cropping region from April to September are estimated to have resulted in the lowest barley yields in ten years.
Victorias barley planted area is forecast to increase by 10 per cent to 880,000 hectares with producers responding to favourable prices compared with production alternatives. Rotational constraints and below average rainfall in early autumn provided additional incentives to substitute away from canola and pulses. Production is forecast to decrease by 14 per cent to 1.8 million tonnes.
Area planted to barley in South Australia is forecast to rise by 8 per cent to 860,000 hectares. High prices of barley relative to pulses and canola provided strong incentives for increased barley plantings. Production is forecast to increase by 10 per cent to marginally under 2 million tonnes.
The area planted to barley in Western Australia is forecast to rise by 8 per cent to 1.5 million hectares. Expected margins on barley are providing a strong incentive to increase planted area, and conditions were less favourable for canola planting earlier in the season. Production is forecast to decrease by 5 per cent to 3.5 million tonnes due to yields falling to average levels.
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