EU & UK: 2025 barley production forecast at 59.2 mln tonnes

COCERAL, in its third forecast for the 2025 EU-27+UK grain crop, predicted a harvest of 300.7 million tonnes, up 4.6 million tonnes from its previous projection in March and more than 20 million tonnes, or 7%, above last year’s total.

Wheat production (excluding durum) is expected to reach 143.1 million tonnes compared to 137.2 million tonnes forecast in March and 126.3 million tonnes last year, according to COCERAL, the European association that focuses on agricultural trade. Upward revisions have been mainly made for southeastern Europe, Spain, and France due to favorable weather conditions.

This year’s EU-27+UK 2025 barley production is forecast at 59.2 million tonnes, up from the previous forecast of 58.8 million tonnes and from the 57.1 million tonnes reached in 2024.

COCERAL sees the corn crop increasing year-on-year to 60.6 million tonnes, compared to 59.7 million in 2024, but lower than the 63.3 million-tonne forecast in March.

“The more pessimistic view is due to downward revision in plantings and a bigger than expected switch to sunseed,” COCERAL said.

The EU-27+UK rapeseed crop is forecast to recover from 17.9 million tonnes last year to 20.0 million in 2025, mainly because of a return to a normal planting pattern in Romania and Bulgaria and a recovery in yields in France and Germany. The forecast has not changed since March.