World: Barley crop 2025 expected to increase by 3.8 mln tonnes versus 2024
RMI Analytics have released their first look at barley crop�25.
The crop�24 production cycle draws to a close, with a only minor adjustment in global barley production to 141.7 mln tonnes, down 0.1 mln tonnes from the analysts� previous report in late December. Harvest has been completed in Australia and down to the last 10% in Argentina, and the end result is a reasonably good outcome for the southern hemisphere.
With crop�24 supply now known, attention shifts to crop�25, where a rebound higher in production is forecast at 145.5 mln tonnes, +3.8 mln above the crop�24 result. Winter barley crops in Europe are progressing well and at the moment are expected to bounce back from the difficult crop - in France particularly.
Despite the rebound in supply, ending stocks are expected to decline 1.0 mln tonnes in crop�25, as production remains below total demand and drawing down stocks.
World crop�25 trade volumes are expected to increase toward the longer-term average as demand is expected to rebound somewhat.
Under the current weak demand environment, the crop result from 2024 has created a very comfortable situation, and an increase of nearly 4 mln tonnes in 2025 adds further stability, but ending stocks are still forecast at the lowest levels in 12 years.
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