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CASTLE MALTING NEWS in partnership with www.e-malt.com Greek
19 March, 2018



Barley news EU: EU’s agri-meteorology bureau forecasts increase in spring barley yields

The European Union is poised for higher winter crop yields this year, officials said, talking of only “limited” frost damage from cold snaps of the last month, although rapeseed was seen poised for only minor improvement, Agrimoney.com reported on March 19.

The European Commission’s Mars agri-meteorology bureau, in its first forecasts for EU crop yields for the 2018 harvest, saw them gaining year on year across the board.

The biggest increase was seen in spring barley, for which Mars pegged yield this year up 0.21 tonnes per hectare at 4.27 tonnes per hectare, in line with the long-term average, and reflecting a recovery from below-par levels last year in the Czech Republic, France and the UK.

However, Mars forecast a marginal rise in the winter barley yield too, up 0.06 tonnes per hectare at 6.05 tonnes per hectare, and a level comfortably above the long-term average.

And for soft wheat - of which nearly all is winter seeded, and of which the European Union is the top producer – Mars forecast a yield of 6.20 tonnes per hectare, up 0.08 tonnes per hectare year on year, and 0.23 tonnes per hectare above the five-year-average result.

The forecast came despite a wave of cold weather in late February and early March, caused by the so-called “Beast from the East” weather system, which the bureau acknowledge caused temperatures to fall to minus 20 degrees Celsius in some countries, such as Hungary and Romania, and “ever lower” in the likes of the Baltic states and Sweden, besides Russia and Ukraine.

“Frost damage remains limited, despite [the] end-of-winter cold spell,” Mars said, noting that “a snow later covered major parts of central and eastern Europe, the British Isles and the northern part of the Iberian peninsula” at the time.

The bureau also noted “abundant precipitation” in southern parts of Portugal and Spain, as well as in northern Morocco, which “as beneficial and halted the persistent drought that had been ongoing since spring 2017”.

However, Mars highlighted that rapeseed, “more sensitive to frost than wheat, may been negatively affected” by the cold weather, notably in eastern Germany and Poland.

“There is also some risk of local damage” in countries such as Hungary, Romania and Slovakia.

The EU rapeseed yield this year was pegged at 3.28 tonnes per hectare, showing only a small increase year on year, and marginally behind the five-year average.

The yield in top grower France, at 3.42 tonnes per hectare, was seen retreating by 0.40 tonnes per hectare from last year’s strong level, with Mars noting that French "rapeseed leaves froze unevenly", although adding that "compensation might occur later in the season".

The EU rapeseed forecast is marginally more downbeat than estimates from some other commentators, with Coceral last week putting this year’s result at 3.30 tonnes per hectare, while Strategie Grains has forecast a 3.38 tonnes-per-hectare figure.

However, on soft wheat, both Coceral, with a yield forecast of 6.07 tonnes per hectare, and Strategie Grains, at 6.1 tonnes per hectare, are less optimistic that Mars.





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